Course path

One direct route through the handbook. Open a lesson, complete its small experiment, then return here for the next step.

0. Start with the big picture

Introduction and AI landscape map

1. Understand generalization

  1. Train, Validation, and Test Sets
  2. Generalization
  3. Bias and Variance
  4. Regularization

2. Evaluate honestly

  1. Data Leakage
  2. Metrics

3. Learn a binary decision

  1. The Perceptron
  2. From Bernoulli to Log Loss
  3. Loss and Optimization

4. Understand multi-step learning

  1. Backpropagation

5. Forecast through time

  1. Forecasting Baselines
  2. Rolling-Origin Backtesting
  3. Probabilistic Forecasting

After the forecasting concepts, compare the model path:

TCN → ModernTCN → Chronos

Reference sheets